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Jacob Bayless
It's not just statistics: GPT-4 does reason.
If you think GPT-4 is just pattern-matching and parroting its training data, you should be surprised by the result of this simple experiment.
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Jacob Bayless
11

April 2023

Blowing up airships in FreeCAD and Python
And ironing out the little wrinkles along the way
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Jacob Bayless
Are we 99.9997% sure about AI?
Yudkowsky's concerns about AI are not science fiction, and public safety should take the front seat
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Jacob Bayless
1

January 2023

Task estimation: Conquering Hofstadter's Law
How to turn your time estimates into reliable predictions — and communicate them.
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Jacob Bayless
5

November 2022

Inflation, part 2: Shelter in Canada and the United States
Shelter costs are rising rapidly in the US, but the situation in Canada is more precarious
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Jacob Bayless
2

July 2022

Is the Kalman filter a low-pass filter? Sometimes!
Exploring the relationship between Kalman filtering and optimal frequency domain filtering.
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Jacob Bayless
15
The Kalman filter on a moving target
How the Kalman filter uses its knowledge of a system's dynamics to predict its next move, and why that derives from Bayesian probability rules
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Jacob Bayless
2
Unstable systems demand fast reflexes
Why systems containing positive feedback loops will always be more prone to bouncing, wobbling, oscillating, jumping, vibrating, overshooting, and…
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Jacob Bayless
4

June 2022

Voiding the warranty: how the Kalman filter updates on data
In which we explore how the Kalman filter approximates Bayesian probability in its update process, and then push it beyond its limits as we tackle the…
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Jacob Bayless
Basics: Updating from data
A deep-dive
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Jacob Bayless
1
Reading Jaynes: Fear not the unknown unknown
You don't need to know the probabilities to make use of probability.
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Jacob Bayless
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