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Free consulting sessions available
[In case you'd like to ask me about anything]
May 30, 2023
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Jacob Bayless
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Free consulting sessions available
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It's not just statistics: GPT-4 does reason.
If you think GPT-4 is just pattern-matching and parroting its training data, you should be surprised by the result of this simple experiment.
May 24, 2023
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Jacob Bayless
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It's not just statistics: GPT-4 does reason.
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April 2023
Blowing up airships in FreeCAD and Python
And ironing out the little wrinkles along the way
Apr 8, 2023
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Jacob Bayless
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Blowing up airships in FreeCAD and Python
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Are we 99.9997% sure about AI?
Yudkowsky's concerns about AI are not science fiction, and public safety should take the front seat
Apr 7, 2023
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Jacob Bayless
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Are we 99.9997% sure about AI?
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January 2023
Task estimation: Conquering Hofstadter's Law
How to turn your time estimates into reliable predictions — and communicate them.
Jan 9, 2023
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Jacob Bayless
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Task estimation: Conquering Hofstadter's Law
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November 2022
Inflation, part 2: Shelter in Canada and the United States
Shelter costs are rising rapidly in the US, but the situation in Canada is more precarious
Nov 27, 2022
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Jacob Bayless
9
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Inflation, part 2: Shelter in Canada and the United States
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July 2022
Is the Kalman filter a low-pass filter? Sometimes!
Exploring the relationship between Kalman filtering and optimal frequency domain filtering.
Jul 27, 2022
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Jacob Bayless
10
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Is the Kalman filter a low-pass filter? Sometimes!
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The Kalman filter on a moving target
How the Kalman filter uses its knowledge of a system's dynamics to predict its next move, and why that derives from Bayesian probability rules
Jul 23, 2022
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Jacob Bayless
6
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The Kalman filter on a moving target
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Unstable systems demand fast reflexes
Why systems containing positive feedback loops will always be more prone to bouncing, wobbling, oscillating, jumping, vibrating, overshooting, and…
Jul 18, 2022
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Jacob Bayless
7
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Unstable systems demand fast reflexes
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June 2022
Voiding the warranty: how the Kalman filter updates on data
In which we explore how the Kalman filter approximates Bayesian probability in its update process, and then push it beyond its limits as we tackle the…
Jun 21, 2022
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Jacob Bayless
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Voiding the warranty: how the Kalman filter updates on data
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Basics: Updating from data
A deep-dive
Jun 9, 2022
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Jacob Bayless
3
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Basics: Updating from data
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Reading Jaynes: Fear not the unknown unknown
You don't need to know the probabilities to make use of probability.
Jun 7, 2022
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Jacob Bayless
10
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Reading Jaynes: Fear not the unknown unknown
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